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Economy & Finance

Chinese Economy Sputters Post-Lockdown

The recovery that wasn't

202310 min read
Archive Notice: This article was originally published on macropolo.org on 2023. MacroPolo was the Paulson Institute's in-house think tank (2018–2024). This archived version preserves the original research for continued citation and reference.

After three years of strict COVID controls, China reopened expecting a consumption-led rebound. Instead, the economy sputtered, revealing deep structural problems that zero-COVID had merely postponed.

Consumer Caution

Chinese households increased savings rather than spending. Youth unemployment, property sector woes, and general pessimism about the future combined to suppress consumption.