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Economic Strategy

Balancing Growth and Security Defines the Chinese Economy

The central tension in Xi Jinping's economic agenda

2023-03-1513 min read

Xi Jinping's economic agenda is defined by tension between growth imperatives and security concerns. From tech regulation to supply chain policy, understanding this balance is essential for interpreting Chinese economic decisions.

The Growth Imperative

Economic growth remains essential for CCP legitimacy. Rising living standards underpin social stability, and technological advancement drives national power. Growth cannot simply be sacrificed for security.

The Security Imperative

But growth divorced from security considerations created vulnerabilities. Dependency on foreign technology, data in foreign hands, and financial exposure to external pressure all threaten the regime's autonomy and resilience.

Policy Manifestations

The tech crackdown, semiconductor self-reliance push, and dual circulation strategy all reflect efforts to rebalance toward security. Whether this recalibration undermines the growth it seeks to secure remains the key question.

Originally published by MacroPolo, Paulson Institute